The motor industry has been hit hard by the recession, high value assets and a finance intense industry has taken it’s toll but particularly with the commercial vehicle sales side of the market. With the market down circa 30%, vans have been hit harder than cars and despite some fairly aggressive deals across all vans brands they are still struggling to move van stock.
However, within the car market we have seen an upsurge in sales aided by scrappage and also on the leasing side, a plethora of deals and increased support from the manufacturer to make interesting deals. In the last 3 months, we have also seen leasing companies request that cars are no longer extended and returned for defleet, this has mean’t businesses and individuals have had to seek new deals.
Predictions suggest that this same pattern will take place in the van leasing market not so much because of needing to return vehicles but more forced by age, mileage and maintenance costs. For example a 3 year old van at the tail of end of 2008 is now approaching 4 years old, based on average mileages these vans are also approaching 100’000 miles, escalating maintenance costs and wear of the vans will force users to replace their vans.
Remember the fundamental thing to consider is that people are not buying fewer cars they have delayed replacing the ones they have. Cars and vans don’t run forever and one way or another there comes a time when economic, mechanical or cosmetic considerations must come into play.